by Sydney Thunder Women are flying high. Two consecutive victories. Confidence soaring. Home advantage at Drummoyne Oval.
Brisbane Heat Women? Complete opposite story. Eight matches played. Zero wins. Bottom of the table. Desperate for a breakthrough.
The ST-W vs BH-W Dream11 Prediction Today WBBL on 03 Dec 2025 becomes straightforward when you look at the numbers.
Thunder demolished the Heat by 41 runs in their last meeting on November 21st.
Thunder posted a massive 200/6. Heat collapsed to 159/10. That margin tells you everything about the current form difference.
ST-W vs BH-W Dream11 Prediction Today WBBL
This statistical guide uses numbers, data, and analysis to help you build winning St vs Bh dream11 prediction today match teams.
Drummoyne Oval: Venue Statistics Breakdown
| Venue Metric | Statistics | Impact on Match |
|---|---|---|
| Average 1st Innings Score | 130 runs (last 5 T20s) | Moderate scoring |
| Average 2nd Innings Score | 125 runs | Chasing slightly harder |
| Highest Score (Recent) | 158/6 | Batting is possible but tough |
| Lowest Score (Recent) | 102/9 | Bowling can dominate |
| Pace Bowling Success | 68% of total wickets | Pacers crucial here |
| Spin Bowling Success | 32% of total wickets | Limited spin helps |
| Toss Win → Bowl First | 85% preference | Almost always bowl first |
| Win % Bowling First | 55.56% | Slight advantage |
| Win % Batting First | 44.44% | Defending tough |
| Boundary Percentage | 42% of total runs | Boundaries available |
| Dot Ball Percentage | 38% average | Bowlers can control |
Key Venue Insights:
- Pace bowlers take 68% of wickets – must-picks for fantasy
- Average score 130 means balanced contest is expected
- 85% teams bowl first after winning toss
- Chasing slightly harder (125 vs 130 average)
Team Strength Comparison: Thunder vs Heat
| Department | Sydney Thunder Women | Brisbane Heat Women | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batting Average | 28.4 runs per wicket | 19.2 runs per wicket | Thunder +48% |
| Top Order | Knight (132), Wilson (149), Litchfield | Redmayne (77), Harris, Rodrigues | Thunder (stronger) |
| Middle Order | Athapaththu, Darlington | Jonassen, de Klerk | Thunder (more reliable) |
| Bowling Average | 22.1 runs per wicket | 31.8 runs per wicket | Thunder +31% |
| Pace Attack | Ismail (7 wkts), Eve | de Klerk, Hancock | Thunder (far superior) |
| Spin Options | Bates, Athapaththu (6 wkts) | Jonassen | Thunder (better) |
| All-Rounders | Athapaththu, Darlington, Knight | Jonassen, Harris, de Klerk | Even |
| Recent Form (Last 5) | W-W-L-L-L (40% win rate) | L-L-L-L-L (0% win rate) | Thunder (massively) |
| Economy Rate | 7.2 runs per over | 8.9 runs per over | Thunder +19% |
| Strike Rate (Batting) | 118.4 | 102.3 | Thunder (more aggressive) |
| Death Overs (16-20) | 42 runs average | 56 runs average | Thunder (much better) |
| Powerplay Performance | 38 runs average | 32 runs average | Thunder (better start) |
Statistical Summary:
Thunder lead in 10 out of 12 statistical categories. Heat’s only strength is all-rounder depth, but even that’s not performing.
Numbers don’t lie. Thunder are superior in batting, bowling, fielding, and recent form.
Head-to-Head: Key Historical Results
Overall Record: Heat lead 8-6 in 14 total matches
Recent Form Between These Teams:
- Nov 21, 2025: Thunder won by 41 runs (Thunder: 200/6, Heat: 159/10)
- Nov 29, 2024: Heat won by 9 wickets (Thunder: 133/7, Heat: 134/1)
- Nov 7, 2024: Thunder won by 19 runs (Thunder: 170/5, Heat: 151/10)
- Oct 11, 2024: Heat won by 9 wickets (Thunder: 151/8, Heat: 157/1)
- Nov 28, 2023: Heat won by 44 runs (Thunder: 125/9, Heat: 169/8)
Key Statistical Patterns:
- When Thunder score 170+, they win 80% of the time
- Heat’s chases above 150 rarely succeed (only 2/7 successful)
- Thunder defend totals better (60% success vs 45% for Heat)
- Most recent match (Nov 2025) was Thunder’s biggest win margin
Current Season H2H:
Thunder 1-0 up in WBBL 2025 meetings. Heat are desperate to level.
Player Performance Stats: Last 5 Matches
Sydney Thunder Women – Top Performers:
| Player | Role | Matches | Runs | Average | SR | Wickets | Economy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Knight | Batter | 5 | 132 | 33.0 | 126.4 | – | – |
| Tahlia Wilson | Batter | 5 | 149 | 37.2 | 118.2 | – | – |
| Phoebe Litchfield | Batter | 5 | 98 | 24.5 | 135.6 | – | – |
| Chamari Athapaththu | All-rounder | 5 | 40 | 13.3 | 121.2 | 6 | 7.1 |
| Shabnim Ismail | Bowler | 5 | 8 | 4.0 | 88.9 | 7 | 6.4 |
| Samantha Bates | Bowler | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 66.7 | 5 | 6.8 |
| Hannah Darlington | All-rounder | 5 | 52 | 17.3 | 108.3 | 4 | 7.5 |
Brisbane Heat Women – Top Performers:
| Player | Role | Matches | Runs | Average | SR | Wickets | Economy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Redmayne | WK-Batter | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 98.7 | – | – |
| Jemimah Rodrigues | Batter | 5 | 112 | 28.0 | 106.6 | – | – |
| Grace Harris | All-rounder | 5 | 89 | 22.2 | 145.9 | 2 | 8.9 |
| Jess Jonassen | All-rounder | 5 | 48 | 16.0 | 92.3 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Nadine de Klerk | All-rounder | 5 | 34 | 11.3 | 89.5 | 5 | 9.1 |
| Lucy Hamilton | Bowler | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | – | 4 | 8.5 |
Statistical Observations:
- Thunder’s Tahlia Wilson (149 runs) outscores Heat’s best batter significantly
- Ismail’s economy (6.4) is far better than any Heat bowler
- Heat’s strike rates are generally lower (slower scoring)
- Thunder’s bowling economy rates consistently better
ST-W vs BH-W Dream11 Prediction Tips: Statistical Strategy
Use these data-driven tips for your St vs Bh Dream11 prediction today fantasy team:
Captain Choice Statistics:
| Player | Fantasy Points Avg (Last 5) | Consistency | Captain Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Knight | 68 points | 4/5 matches 50+ | 9/10 |
| Tahlia Wilson | 72 points | 5/5 matches 40+ | 9/10 |
| Chamari Athapaththu | 64 points | 3/5 matches 60+ | 8.5/10 |
| Shabnim Ismail | 58 points | 3/5 matches 50+ | 8/10 |
| Grace Harris | 52 points | 2/5 matches 70+ | 7/10 |
Safe Captain: Tahlia Wilson (most consistent, highest average points)
Risky Captain: Grace Harris (low ownership, high ceiling if she fires)
Team Balance Statistics:
Optimal Formation Based on Venue Data:
- 1 WK – Wicketkeepers average 22 fantasy points here
- 3 BAT – Pure batters average 38 fantasy points
- 3 ALL – All-rounders average 46 fantasy points (highest!)
- 4 BOWL – Bowlers average 34 fantasy points (pace-friendly pitch)
Budget Allocation:
- Spend 45-50% on Thunder players (they’ll perform)
- Spend 20-25% on top Heat players (Rodrigues, Redmayne)
- Save 25-30% for quality bowlers (most important)
Sample Dream11 Team: Statistical Justification
Formation: 1 WK + 3 BAT + 3 ALL + 4 BOWL
| Position | Player | Team | Why Selected (Stats-Based) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WK | Georgia Redmayne | Heat | 77 runs in 5 matches (15.4 avg), budget pick |
| BAT | Heather Knight (C) | Thunder | 132 runs, 33.0 avg, 126.4 SR – most consistent |
| BAT | Tahlia Wilson | Thunder | 149 runs (highest), 37.2 avg, plays every match |
| BAT | Jemimah Rodrigues | Heat | 112 runs, 28.0 avg – Heat’s most reliable |
| ALL | Chamari Athapaththu (VC) | Thunder | 40 runs + 6 wickets, 7.1 economy |
| ALL | Hannah Darlington | Thunder | 52 runs + 4 wickets, emerging talent |
| ALL | Jess Jonassen | Heat | 48 runs + 6 wickets, experienced |
| BOWL | Shabnim Ismail | Thunder | 7 wickets, 6.4 economy (best) |
| BOWL | Samantha Bates | Thunder | 5 wickets, 6.8 economy, economical |
| BOWL | Sienna Eve | Thunder | Takes wickets in power play |
| BOWL | Nadine de Klerk | Heat | 5 wickets, all-round backup |
Statistical Reasoning:
- ✓ 6 Thunder players (they’re 75% likely to win)
- ✓ 5 Heat players (balance required, differential picks)
- ✓ Focus on Thunder bowlers (venue suits them)
- ✓ Captain on highest-averaging batter (Wilson/Knight)
- ✓ All-rounders maximize points (batting + bowling)
Final Winner Prediction: Numbers Don’t Lie
For your ST-W vs BH-W Dream11 Prediction Today WBBL on 03 Dec 2025 teams, here’s the statistical verdict:
- Winner: Sydney Thunder Women
- Win Probability: 75% Thunder, 25% Heat
Statistical Reasons:
- ✅ Thunder won last 2 matches (momentum indicator)
- ✅ Beat Heat by 41 runs last time (recent dominance)
- ✅ Home advantage (55% win rate at home vs 38% for Heat away)
- ✅ Superior statistics in 10/12 categories
- ✅ Heat’s 0-8 record this season (worst in tournament)
Expected Score Prediction:
- Team batting first: 125-135 runs (based on venue average 130)
- Team chasing: Win by 10-20 runs or 3-4 wickets
Most Likely Scenario:
- Thunder win toss → Bowl first (85% historical trend) Restrict Heat to 120-130 → Chase successfully in 18-19 overs
Best ST-W vs BH-W Dream11 Today Match Prediction Strategy:
- Load team with 6-7 Thunder players
- Pick Thunder bowlers (Ismail, Bates, Eve)
- Captain: Tahlia Wilson or Heather Knight
- Vice-Captain: Chamari Athapaththu
- Differential: Jemimah Rodrigues (low ownership)
Good luck! Let statistics guide your selections! 📊🏏
More Updates on WBBL 2025 Points Table
